Morocco Country Policy Report

Analyzing Morocco’s evolution into a strategic middle power amid economic transformation, climate stress, and geopolitical competition. The post Morocco Country Policy Report appeared first on Stimson Center.

Stimson Center
75
48 хв читання
0 переглядів
Morocco Country Policy Report

Executive Summary

 Morocco enters 2026 as a sophisticated middle power occupying a structurally unique position at the intersection of the Atlantic, Mediterranean, and Sahelian spheres. No longer merely a buffer state for European migration management, the Kingdom has evolved into a proactive regional actor and stable anchor at the crossroads of Europe and Africa. Under King Mohammed VI, Morocco has leveraged its geography to facilitate trade, investment, and security cooperation across continents, effectively reshaping the Maghreb’s strategic architecture through what analysts have termed “strategic transactionality,” a foreign policy based on disciplined alignment of interests — securing diplomatic and economic support while offering cooperation on shared priorities.

This report analyzes Morocco’s ongoing transition from a low-cost manufacturing platform to a high-tech industrial exporter, green energy pioneer, and emerging battery materials hub. It evaluates the New Development Model launched in 2021 against the persistent structural vulnerabilities that constrain it. While the Kingdom has emerged as Africa’s largest automotive manufacturer, commands phosphate reserves, and has staked a credible claim to leadership in renewable energy, it faces critical headwinds: historic water scarcity, stubbornly high youth unemployment, a large informal economy, and the unresolved geopolitical stalemate over Western Sahara that shapes nearly every dimension of its foreign policy.

Three intersecting dynamics define Morocco’s current trajectory. The first is economic transformation: The rise of integrated automotive, aerospace, and critical minerals export clusters has materially shifted Morocco’s place in global supply chains, drawing sustained European and Gulf investment and positioning the country as a preferred nearshoring destination amid Western efforts to reduce Chinese supply chain dependence. The second is social consolidation: The 2021 social protection reform extending health coverage and family allowances to the full population represents the most ambitious domestic policy undertaking in a generation, though its fiscal sustainability depends on continued revenue performance and structural job creation. The third is diplomatic repositioning: The 2020 Abraham Accords normalization with Israel and the 2025 UN Security Council resolution centering Morocco’s autonomy plan for Western Sahara represent significant multilateral wins, yet a durable resolution to the Algeria impasse remains elusive.

This report synthesizes data from the IMF, World Bank, UN agencies, and leading think tanks to map Morocco’s essential developmental and geopolitical structures, identify the structural tensions between its reform ambitions and its institutional constraints, and contextualize the Kingdom’s role as a pivotal actor in an increasingly contested region.

Country Profile

Geography and Climate

Morocco’s full territorial surface is 710,850 km2, encompassing the northern territory and the Southern Provinces. The country features diverse geography, including Mediterranean coastal plains, the Atlas Mountains, and the Sahara Desert. Only 18% of the land is arable. Forest cover represents approximately 12% of total land area (around 5.6 million hectares), though this share has faced pressure from drought and wildfires in recent decades.

Morocco’s climate varies significantly by region. The northern and Atlantic coastal zones enjoy a Mediterranean and semi-tropical climate characterized by mild, wet winters and warm, dry summers. Inland and southern regions become progressively arid, with the Sahara experiencing extreme heat, regularly exceeding 45°C in summer. The Atlas Mountains create an alpine microclimate with cold winters and snowfall. Rainfall is highly variable, ranging from over 700 mm annually in the Rif Mountains to less than 100 mm in the pre-Saharan south. This climatic diversity supports both Mediterranean agriculture in the north and nomadic livelihoods in the south but also makes Morocco highly vulnerable to drought. Information on water resources and scarcity is addressed under the Climate and Energy section.1 “U.S. International Trade Administration, “Morocco—Water,” Country Commercial Guide, https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/morocco-water.,2 U.S. International Trade Administration, “Morocco—Water.”,3https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.LND.TOTL.K2?locations=MA

Demographics

Morocco has a population of approximately 38.7 million as of 2026, with an annual growth rate of around 1%. Approximately one-third of the population is under the age of 30, and nearly 65% reside in urban areas. Major urban centers include Casablanca, with a population exceeding 3 million, as well as Rabat (1.8 million in the metropolitan area), Fes, Marrakesh, and Tangier. While the country is experiencing increasing urbanization, rural and interior regions continue to face economic marginalization.4 Morocco World News, “Morocco Census: Stable Growth in a Decade of Transformation & Tumult,” November 2024, https://www.moroccoworldnews.com/2024/11/12505/morocco-census-stable-growth-in-a-decade-of-transformation-amp-tumult/.,5https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/morocco-population/

Ethnic and Cultural Composition

Morocco integrates Arab and Berber (Amazigh) cultures. Tamazight was recognized as an official language alongside Arabic in 2011. Moroccan Arabic (Darija) is the main spoken language, while French is used in business and government. Over 99% of Moroccans are Sunni Muslim. Islam is the state religion, and the King holds the title “Commander of the Faithful.”6https://www.kas.de/en/web/marokko/publikationen/einzeltitel/-/content/morocco-s-religious-diplomacy-at-a-crossroads

Socio-Economic Indicators

Life expectancy now exceeds 75 years, rising from 60 in 1980. Adult literacy stands at 77%, with 86% for men and 69% for women. As of 2024, Morocco has achieved 88% health insurance coverage and is on track for universal coverage by 2025. In the 2025 SDG Index for the Arab world, Morocco scored 71.7 out of 100, ranking just behind Tunisia. The country has made significant progress in reducing poverty, improving infrastructure, and expanding access to services. However, challenges remain in education quality, gender equality, and regional disparities. Key labor indicators reflect ongoing structural challenges: National unemployment stood at approximately 13.3% in 2024, rising from 13% in 2023, with youth unemployment exceeding 35% in urban areas. Female labor force participation remains among the lowest globally at approximately 22%. The dependency ratio (the share of the population aged 0–14 and 65+ relative to the working-age population) stands at approximately 53%, reflecting a still-young population that places significant demands on public services and social spending while also representing a demographic dividend opportunity if sufficient employment is generated..7 Mo Ibrahim Foundation, “2nd SDG Summit: Stagnating Progress Puts SDGs in Peril for Africa,” 2023, https://mo.ibrahim.foundation/news/2023/2nd-sdg-summit-stagnating-progress-puts-sdgs-peril-africa.,8 Morocco World News, “Tehraoui: Morocco Expands Universal Health Coverage to 88% of Population,” January 2025, https://www.moroccoworldnews.com/2025/12/270802/tehraoui-morocco-expands-universal-health-coverage-to-88-of-population/.,9 CountryEconomy.com, “Literacy Rate—Morocco,” 2022 data, https://countryeconomy.com/demography/literacy-rate/morocco.,10 Trading Economics, “Morocco Life Expectancy at Birth,” World Bank data, https://tradingeconomics.com/morocco/life-expectancy-at-birth-total-years-wb-data.html.

Political Systems

Morocco is a constitutional monarchy. King Mohammed VI, who has ruled since 1999, maintains significant executive authority. The 2011 constitution, introduced after Arab Spring protests, expanded powers for the elected parliament and government, but the monarch retains final authority over defense, foreign affairs, and religious matters. Parliament includes a 395-member House of Representatives and a 120-member House of Councilors. Multiple parties participate in regular elections, with the RNI-led coalition in power since 2021. The system combines democratic features with continued royal dominance, providing stability and gradual reform.11 ConstitutionNet, “Constitutional History of Morocco,” International IDEA, http://constitutionnet.org/country/morocco.

Economic Landscape

Morocco’s GDP stood at approximately $154 billion in 2024 (World Bank), making it Africa’s fifth-largest economy. Real GDP growth accelerated to an estimated 4.9% in 2025, supported by a rebound in agricultural output and a surge in large-scale infrastructure projects, up from 3.2% in 2024 and 3.4% in 2023. Growth is projected at approximately 4.4% for 2026. Gross National Income (GNI) per capita reached $3,760 in 2024 (Atlas method), maintaining Morocco’s lower-middle-income classification. GNI per capita in purchasing power parity terms stood at approximately $10,150 (current international dollars). Inflation decelerated sharply from 6.1% in 2023 to 0.9% in 2024 and remained low at 0.8% in 2025, reflecting declining energy prices and easing global supply pressures. Bank Al-Maghrib lowered its policy rate twice in 2024 and has maintained a broadly neutral stance since. The central government fiscal deficit narrowed from 4.1% of GDP in 2024 to 3.5% in 2025, despite higher spending on public investment and transfers to state-owned enterprises, reflecting stronger-than-expected tax revenues from ongoing reforms. The government’s medium-term fiscal framework targets a gradual reduction in public debt toward 60.5% of GDP by 2031. National unemployment rose to 13.3% in 2024, reflecting job losses in the drought-hit agricultural sector, with urban youth unemployment exceeding 35%. The economy is diversified: Agriculture employs one-third of the workforce and accounts for about 13% of GDP, industry contributes 29%, and services 57%. Morocco holds 70% of global phosphate reserves and automotive manufacturing is now the largest export sector. Public debt is approximately 68–70% of GDP, though the government maintains overall fiscal discipline and macroeconomic stability.12 World Economics, “Morocco Debt to GDP Ratio,” https://www.worldeconomics.com/GrossDomesticProduct/Debt-to-GDP-Ratio/Morocco.aspx.,13 Morocco World News, “Morocco Records 2.7% Decline in Automotive Exports in 2025,” November 2025, https://www.moroccoworldnews.com/2025/11/269529/morocco-records-2-7-decline-in-automotive-exports-in-2025/.,14 Trading Economics, “Morocco GDP,” World Bank data, accessed February 2026, https://tradingeconomics.com/morocco/gdp.,15 Macrotrends, “Morocco GDP—Gross Domestic Product,” https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/mar/morocco/gdp-gross-domestic-product.,16 The Global Economy, “Morocco GDP, Current USD,” https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Morocco/GDP_current_USD/., 17https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPD@WEO/DZA/MAR

Economy, Trade, and Investment

Economic Reforms and Vision 2035

Morocco has implemented broad economic and social reforms to drive development and address structural challenges. In 2021, King Mohammed VI’s advisory committee introduced the “New Development Model,” which outlines a strategy for inclusive and sustainable growth through 2035. The plan prioritizes private sector competitiveness, reducing inequality, strengthening education and health systems, empowering regional authorities, and improving governance. It also focuses on job creation, especially for youth, and advancing higher value-added industries.18Government of Morocco, The New Development Model: Morocco in the Future, 2021–2035 (General Report, April 2021), 2026, https://extranet.who.int/cpcd/sites/default/files/public_file_repository/MAR_Morocco_The-New-Development-Model_2021-2035.pdf. 

A major reform launched in 2021 seeks to achieve universal social protection by 2025. This initiative extends health insurance to all citizens, expands pension coverage to self-employed and informal sector workers, and introduces family allowances for all families regardless of income. By 2024, 88% of the population has basic health coverage. The expanded social safety net is funded by reallocating resources from broad subsidies. Morocco has phased out most fuel subsidies, which mainly benefited wealthier consumers, and is reforming butane gas and sugar subsidies by replacing them with targeted direct cash transfers to low-income households.19 NCBI/PMC, “Social Protection Reform in Morocco,” National Center for Biotechnology Information, accessed February 2026, https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10273043/.

Fiscal reforms focus on simplifying and reducing corporate taxes. The standard corporate income tax rate of 30–31% is being replaced by a progressive system from 2023 to 2026, with lower rates for small and medium enterprises and a base rate of 20–25% for larger firms. The government is working to broaden the tax base by formalizing informal businesses and addressing tax evasion. Digitization of tax administration and customs is underway to enhance efficiency and transparency. Public financial management reforms target improved budget execution and accountability. Ongoing infrastructure investments in ports, highways, railways, and digital connectivity aim to strengthen economic competitiveness. Collectively, these reforms are designed to modernize Morocco’s economy, increase competitiveness and exports, and ensure that growth benefits a wider segment of society.

The Tanger Med-Algeciras corridor in the Strait of Gibraltar represents one of the most strategically significant maritime corridors in the world. The Strait itself serves as a chokepoint between the Atlantic and the Mediterranean, with approximately 100,000 vessels transiting annually, carrying more than 10% of global maritime trade. In 2024, Tanger Med handled 10.2 million TEUs (twenty-foot equivalent units), surpassing Algeciras’ 4.7 million TEUs and making it the largest container port in Africa and the Mediterranean. By 2025, Tanger Med had surpassed Algeciras and Valencia combined in throughput. Road freight and Ro-Ro (roll-on/roll-off) ferry traffic between Tanger Med and Algeciras reached nearly 500,000 units in 2025. Between 2008 and 2024, Morocco’s Liner Shipping Connectivity Index (LSCI) ranking improved from 34th to 21st globally, outperforming the MENA regional average. Foreign direct investment inflows to port-linked industrial zones increased by 12% between 2020 and 2024. Tanger Med has developed an end-to-end digital platform and now hosts over 1,200 companies in sectors including automotive manufacturing, aeronautics, textiles, and advanced logistics. The corridor’s competitiveness has been enhanced by Morocco’s free trade agreements with the EU and the United States, positioning Tanger Med as a preferred hub for near-shoring and export-oriented manufacturing targeting European markets.

Trade Policy and Partners

Morocco is highly open to trade, with trade representing approximately 95% of its GDP as of 2025. The European Union is its leading partner, accounting for 59% of total trade, and two-thirds of exports are directed to Europe, primarily Spain and France. Morocco has established free trade agreements with the EU (2000) and the United States (2006). Since rejoining the African Union in 2017 and joining the African Continental Free Trade Area, Morocco has sought stronger ties with Sub-Saharan Africa, and its firms have expanded across West and Central Africa. Partnerships with China through the Belt and Road Initiative and with Gulf states such as the UAE, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are also increasing, although Europe remains Morocco’s primary trading partner.20 Al Jazeera, “Morocco Rejoins the African Union After 33 Years,” January 31, 2017, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/1/31/morocco-rejoins-the-african-union-after-33-years.,21 European Commission, “EU Trade Relationships—Morocco,” Policy Trade Portal, https://policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/eu-trade-relationships-country-and-region/countries-and-regions/morocco_en.,22TheGlobalEconomy.com, “Morocco: Trade openness — exports plus imports as percent of GDP,” https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Morocco/trade_openness/

Morocco operates several free zones offering companies tax breaks, subsidies, and reduced customs duties to attract export-oriented investment. Companies registered in Industrial Acceleration Zones are subject to a corporate tax rate of 20% following an initial five-year exemption, and benefit from a 20% income tax rate for employees for up to 10 years — significantly below the standard graduated income tax, which can reach 38%. As part of its strategy to become an African financial hub, Morocco has established Casablanca Finance City (CFC), its flagship financial and business hub offering equivalent incentives to both financial and non-financial firms, domestic and foreign. The CFC regime provides the same tax benefits and is designed to attract regional headquarters of multinational companies. Morocco does not currently have an investment screening process for critical industries such as telecommunications, critical minerals and rare earths, and renewable energy, which represents a gap noted by international investors. The government is also continuing efforts to combat widespread informality in the economy, which limits productivity growth and tax revenues.

Export Sectors

Morocco has diversified its exports beyond traditional products such as phosphates, citrus, and textiles to include higher value-added manufacturing. The automotive sector illustrates this shift, with exports of vehicles, wiring harnesses, engines, and components now representing about 25% of total goods exports, surpassing phosphates. This growth results from sustained investment in infrastructure and workforce development. Major manufacturers, including Renault and Stellantis/Peugeot, operate large factories focused on European markets, supported by hundreds of component suppliers that form an integrated automotive ecosystem. Morocco produces over a million vehicles annually as of 2026, ranking as Africa’s largest auto manufacturer surpassing South Africa.23APA News, “Morocco becomes Africa’s leading automaker,” January 13, 2026, https://apanews.net/morocco-becomes-africas-leading-automaker/

Phosphate rock and its derivatives remain essential to Morocco’s economy. The state-owned OCP Company controls 70% of global phosphate rock reserves and has transitioned from exporting raw minerals to becoming a global integrated fertilizer producer. OCP operates mines in Khouribga and Youssoufia, processing facilities that convert phosphate rock into phosphoric acid and various fertilizers, and port terminals for export. Significant investments in capacity and downstream processing have positioned Morocco among the world’s leading fertilizer exporters, serving markets in Africa, Europe, Latin America, and Asia.240 OCP Group, “Our Journey,”, https://www.ocpgroup.ma/en/who-we-are/our-journey.

Morocco’s textile and apparel industry benefits from its proximity to Europe, supplying fast fashion brands such as Zara and H&M with short lead times. The sector faces strong competition from lower-cost Asian producers and must continually modernize to stay competitive. Agricultural and fish exports, including citrus fruits, vegetables, olive oil, and canned fish, remain important, with the EU and African markets as key destinations. The aerospace sector has developed into a high-tech export industry, with over 140 firms — including Bombardier, Safran, Eaton, and many smaller suppliers — producing cables, parts, and assemblies for commercial and military aircraft. Electronics and electrical equipment, particularly automotive wiring systems and electronics assembly, are also expanding export areas. Morocco’s main imports are energy (crude oil, refined fuels, coal), capital goods (machinery, electrical equipment), and consumer products. The trade balance is usually in deficit, especially when oil prices are high, but strong remittances (about $11–12 billion annually) and tourism revenues (about $9 billion in normal years) help offset this and support the current account.

Critical Minerals

Morocco plays an increasingly strategic role in the global critical minerals landscape. Beyond its dominant phosphate position, the country holds significant reserves of cobalt, copper, nickel, manganese, barite, and fluorine. Morocco is the world’s ninth-largest producer of cobalt and holds the eleventh-largest cobalt reserves globally. These minerals are essential inputs for electric vehicles, renewable energy systems, semiconductors, and defense industries. The state-owned mining company Managem is Morocco’s primary cobalt producer, operating the Bou Azzer mine and supplying battery-grade cobalt to major European automakers. Managem has signed supply agreements with BMW and Renault Group, committing to supply approximately 5,000 tonnes of low-carbon cobalt sulphate annually for seven years starting in 2025, supporting roughly 15 GWh of battery production per year. Morocco’s reserves include approximately 30 million metric tonnes of phosphates, 1.5 million metric tonnes of manganese, 45 million metric tonnes of cobalt and nickel combined, and 5 million metric tonnes of copper.

Morocco is positioning itself as a battery materials hub, leveraging its phosphate dominance for lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery production. The OCP Group inaugurated its first lithium-ion battery materials manufacturing plant at Jorf Lasfar in June 2025. Chinese firms BTR New Material Group, Gotion High Tech, Huayou Cobalt, and CNGR have collectively pledged over $700 million in battery materials plants in Morocco. BTR is developing a cathode materials facility near Tangier with an initial capacity of 25,000 tonnes, expected to be operational by September 2026. Gotion is building a gigafactory in Kenitra with initial capacity of 20 GWh, targeting third quarter 2026, with potential to scale to 100 GWh. The growing Chinese presence in Morocco’s critical minerals sector is a point of geopolitical attention for Western partners, given FEOC (Foreign Entity of Concern) supply chain regulations in the United States and the EU’s Critical Raw Materials Act, both of which seek to diversify away from Chinese-dominated supply chains.

Foreign Direct Investment

Morocco has taken a systematic approach to improving its investment climate and attracting foreign direct investment. Before the pandemic, annual FDI inflows averaged $2–3 billion, placing Morocco among Africa’s leading recipients. FDI inflows have recovered strongly, supported by the 2022 Investment Charter, which introduced new incentive frameworks and strengthened protections for investors. Key source countries are France, particularly in banking, retail, and telecommunications; the UAE in real estate, ports, and logistics; Spain in banking and energy; and the United States in manufacturing and services. Net FDI flows rose in 2024, with international reserves reaching $37.2 billion (120% of the IMF’s adjusted ARA metric). The government has introduced regulatory reforms to simplify business registration, reduce bureaucracy, and strengthen investor protections. Morocco’s 2030 Digital Strategy provides a framework for attracting investment in technology sectors, targeting digital transformation across government and the private economy as a driver of competitiveness and job creation.

Free zones and industrial parks play a key role in attracting investment. The Tanger Med port complex features industrial zones specializing in automotive, logistics, and textiles, offering streamlined customs, tax incentives, and modern infrastructure. Automotive zones near Tangier and Kenitra host Renault and Stellantis/Peugeot factories that produce hundreds of thousands of vehicles each year. Aerospace zones in Casablanca and Nouaceur support suppliers for Boeing and Airbus. These zones provide one-stop services, reliable utilities, and close access to ports, supporting export-oriented manufacturing.

Morocco is recognized as a leading African country for ease of doing business, as reported by World Bank assessments, although certain challenges persist. Major sectors attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) include automotive manufacturing (notably Renault, Stellantis, and various component suppliers), aerospace (such as Bombardier, Safran, and Eaton), pharmaceuticals, renewable energy (including solar and wind projects), real estate, tourism, financial services, and business process outsourcing. Investment promotion agencies actively seek to attract foreign companies by providing sector-specific incentives and support. Nevertheless, some investors express concerns regarding bureaucratic inconsistencies, perceived corruption, land acquisition challenges, and regulatory unpredictability. The government is undertaking initiatives to streamline administrative procedures, improve transparency, and reinforce the rule of law to sustain FDI growth.

Artificial Intelligence and Technology Landscape

Morocco has established itself as one of Africa’s more advanced digital economies and is pursuing an ambitious national artificial intelligence strategy. In January 2026, Morocco unveiled plans for Maroc IA 2030, a national AI roadmap that builds on the broader Digital Morocco 2030 strategy launched in 2024. The roadmap aims to modernize public administration, support private sector innovation, develop domestic AI capacity, and reduce dependence on external digital solutions. Together, the two strategies are projected to generate approximately 240,000 digital jobs and contribute roughly $10 billion to Morocco’s GDP by 2030, while improving Morocco’s international AI readiness ranking.

A key institutional element of the roadmap is the planned creation of the Al Jazari Institutes, a national network of AI centers of excellence linking academic research with regional innovation needs. A General Directorate for AI and Emerging Technologies is also planned to coordinate public policy and oversee implementation.

Beyond national borders, Morocco aims to develop an Arab-African regional digital hub in partnership with the United Nations Development Programme, reflecting its ambition to position itself as a continental leader in AI and digital development. Morocco also co-initiated with the United States the first UN General Assembly Resolution on Artificial Intelligence, adopted by consensus in March 2024, and launched the first Group of Friends on AI at the UN, reinforcing its role in shaping global AI governance.

Morocco’s technology infrastructure supports these ambitions. The country has good internet penetration and a growing mobile ecosystem. The ICT sector is anchored by Maroc Telecom, which operates internationally across West and Central Africa. Casablanca serves as a regional hub for business process outsourcing and fintech. Morocco has invested in submarine cable connectivity linking it to Europe and West Africa. The country’s proximity to Europe, bilingual (Arabic-French) workforce, and competitive cost base have attracted nearshoring in IT services and call centers. However, the digital economy faces challenges in terms of digital skills gaps, regulatory lag in emerging technologies, and rural connectivity gaps that limit inclusive digital access.

Financial and Banking Sector

Morocco has a well-developed banking sector by regional standards. Bank Al-Maghrib (BAM), the central bank, is an independent and well-regarded institution that has maintained macroeconomic stability through successive shocks. The sector is dominated by a small number of large commercial banks — most prominently Attijariwafa Bank, Banque Centrale Populaire (BCP), and BMCE Bank of Africa — which have expanded significantly across sub-Saharan Africa. Foreign banks, including French institutions such as BMCE, Société Générale, and Crédit Agricole, also operate in Morocco. The banking system is broadly stable: As of 2024, Tier 1 capital ratios stood at approximately 12.9%, above minimum regulatory requirements. Non-performing loan (NPL) ratios were elevated, however, at around 10.8% for households and 12.5% for non-financial private firms, reflecting the cumulative impact of drought-driven economic stress and the lagging effects of pandemic-era subsidized loans.

Casablanca Finance City (CFC) serves as Morocco’s flagship financial hub and has attracted regional headquarters of major international firms, positioned as the leading financial platform for companies accessing African and MENA markets. The insurance, capital markets, and microfinance segments are developing, though financial inclusion gaps remain, particularly in rural areas. Morocco’s banking sector is increasingly integrated into international capital markets, having issued green bonds and accessed multilateral financing for infrastructure and climate investments.

Economic Challenges

Although Morocco has made progress, the country continues to face significant structural challenges, including high youth unemployment, reliance on volatile agricultural production, persistent social inequality, and pronounced regional disparities. Economic wealth is concentrated in coastal cities, whereas interior regions experience slower development. The informal sector remains substantial. Managing budget and current account deficits is increasingly important as public debt rises. Ambitious social programs must be balanced with fiscal sustainability, necessitating enhanced tax revenue collection and sustained economic growth. Inefficient government bureaucracy, corruption, and the slow pace of regulatory reform remain  obstacles to private sector development. The government does not currently have an investment screening mechanism for critical industries such as telecommunications, critical minerals, and renewable energy.

Energy & Climate Policy

Climate Challenges

Morocco is experiencing severe climate impacts. Water scarcity has become critical, as successive droughts since 2015 have depleted both reservoirs and groundwater resources. Per capita water availability has declined from 2,560 m³ in the 1960s to approximately 565 m³ today, placing Morocco among the most water-stressed countries globally (ranked 27th in terms of water shortage risk). The agricultural sector accounts for 85% of water consumption and is particularly vulnerable during drought years. In response, the government has implemented the National Water Plan 2020–2027, which prioritizes investments in dams, reservoirs, and desalination infrastructure. A major inter-basin transfer project in 2023 connected the Sebou basin to reservoirs supplying Casablanca and Rabat. By 2030, Morocco aims to produce 1.4 billion cubic meters of desalinated water annually, with a major desalination facility initiated in Casablanca in 2024 projected to become the largest in Africa upon completion. Desertification threatens arid southern regions, while rising temperatures — exceeding 45°C in some areas — reduce agricultural yields and strain public health systems. Coastal erosion endangers coastal infrastructure along both the Atlantic and Mediterranean shorelines. Morocco’s vulnerability to climate change is compounded by its dependence on rain-fed agriculture, with roughly 60% of rural employment tied to the agricultural sector. The country has integrated climate risk assessments into its fiscal planning frameworks under commitments made through the IMF’s Resilience and Sustainability Facility arrangement.

A significant new initiative is the Morocco Decarbonisation and Climate Resilience (MCDR) Framework, developed with international support. The MCDR aims to accelerate Morocco’s transition to a low-carbon economy while building resilience against the climate impacts already under way. It focuses on aligning sectoral policies — across energy, agriculture, water, and urban development — with Morocco’s NDC commitments and long-term decarbonization pathways. The framework seeks to mobilize private climate finance by improving the enabling environment for green investment and reducing policy risk for international investors.

Energy Mix and Renewable Investment

Morocco imports more than 90% of its energy inputs. By 2024, the electricity mix had shifted to approximately 55% coal, 9.6% natural gas, and 27% renewables, with installed renewable capacity exceeding 45% of the total. However, the share of modern renewables in final energy consumption (SDG 7.2 indicator) stood at 8.16% in 2022, representing a decline of 4% from 2000 levels — reflecting the dominant role of fossil fuels in overall energy demand despite progress in installed renewable capacity.

To strengthen energy security, Morocco has set a target of 56% renewable electricity capacity by 2030, up from an earlier goal of 52%. By 2023, renewable capacity reached 4,050 MW, representing 38% of total installed capacity. The Noor Ouarzazate Solar Complex, with a capacity of 580 MW, is among the largest concentrated solar power facilities globally. Wind energy capacity stood at 2,373 MW by end-2024. Hydropower contributes approximately 1,800 MW.

Morocco is now positioning itself as a major global green hydrogen producer. As of March 2025, it had approved $32.5 billion in projects to produce ammonia, steel, and industrial fuel. The country aims to capture 4% of global hydrogen demand by 2030, targeting exports to Europe. A dedicated “Morocco Offer” provides 1 million hectares of land to investors, backed by a national green hydrogen roadmap that integrates domestic use with export ambitions..25 U.S. International Trade Administration, “Morocco—Energy.”,26 U.S. International Trade Administration, “Morocco—Energy,” Country Commercial Guide, https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/morocco-energy.,27Morocco World News, “Morocco’s Wind Energy Capacity Reached 2,373 MW by End of 2024,” February 4, 2025, https://www.moroccoworldnews.com/2025/02/164986/moroccos-wind-energy-capacity-reached-2-373-mw-by-end-of-2024/

Climate Policy and International Role

Morocco has submitted successive ambitious Nationally Determined Contributions. Its latest NDC 3.0 commits to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 53% by 2035. Alongside this, Morocco champions or participates in the Sahel Region Commission, the Congo Basin Commission, and the African Island States Commission, extending its climate leadership across the continent. Achieving these targets relies on reaching a 52% renewable electricity capacity. National legislation supports renewable energy development; for instance, amendments to Renewable Energy Law 13-09 have opened medium-voltage markets to renewable producers, while new self-generation laws permit companies to generate their own solar and wind power. Energy efficiency initiatives seek to reduce overall consumption by 15% by 2030 through stricter building codes, the promotion of LED lighting, and the expansion of mass transit systems, such as tramways in Rabat and Casablanca.

Morocco’s adaptation measures are extensive. The National Climate Plan integrates water management, with 40 new dams planned by 2030 to increase storage capacity, as well as agricultural strategies such as drought insurance and the adoption of drought-resistant crop varieties. Disaster risk management is also prioritized. The expansion of desalination plants is underway; a major facility initiated in Casablanca in 2024 is projected to become the largest in Africa upon completion. The country aims to produce 1.4 billion cubic meters of desalinated water annually by 2030. Drip irrigation has been implemented across hundreds of thousands of hectares. Reforestation and anti-desertification initiatives include planting olive trees in erosion-prone areas and protecting forests in the Atlas Mountains.

Morocco hosted the UNFCCC COP22 in Marrakech in 2016, contributing to the development of the Paris Agreement rulebook. The country sits as chair or co-chair for several continent-wide climate initiatives, such as the African Adaptation Initiative and the African Renewable Energy Initiatives. Morocco has joined the Powering Past Coal Alliance, committing to phase out coal power by the 2040s. Casablanca is emerging as a regional center for green bonds in Africa. Morocco also seeks to export renewable energy to Europe through undersea interconnectors and is piloting green hydrogen production for European markets in collaboration with Germany. These efforts have strengthened Morocco’s diplomatic influence and attracted climate finance from institutions including the World Bank, African Development Bank, and Green Climate Fund.28 Powering Past Coal Alliance, “Morocco Sets Conditional Date to Phase Out Coal Power by 2040,” accessed February 2026, https://poweringpastcoal.org/news/morocco-sets-conditional-date-to-phase-out-coal-power-by-2040/.

Geopolitics & Foreign Relations

The Western Sahara Dispute

Morocco’s assertion of sovereignty over Western Sahara forms the cornerstone of its foreign policy. Morocco administers the territory west of the defensive sand wall. The area to the east is a UN-monitored buffer zone established to prevent incursions; the Polisario Front maintains no administrative or civilian presence inside Western Sahara. The population linked to the Polisario resides in camps near Tindouf, Algeria. In contrast, the Polisario Front, supported by Algeria, advocates for the independence of the territory’s population. The conflict has persisted since the 1970s.

A United Nations-brokered ceasefire in 1991 established the United Nations Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara (MINURSO). However, the referendum proved unimplementable. In 2004, the Security Council endorsed a political, negotiated solution, and UN Security Council Resolution 2797 (October 2025) now centers that political track on the Moroccan autonomy proposal. Tensions periodically escalate through specific incidents, including the Polisario’s blockade of the Guerguerate border crossing, restrictions on MINURSO’s freedom of movement, and attacks causing civilian casualties in Smara and Mahbes. The land border with Algeria has been closed since 1994, and diplomatic relations were severed in 2021.

Morocco has achieved notable diplomatic successes. Morocco rejoined the African Union in 2017 explicitly to contest the AU’s recognition of the self-proclaimed Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR), which is not recognized by the United Nations, from within the organization. Currently, only 15 of 54 AU members continue to recognize the self-proclaimed SADR, while 22 African states have opened consulates in Morocco’s Southern Provinces. At the same time, the Moroccan monarch conducted extensive tours across Africa, signing bilateral agreements that enhanced Morocco’s influence and persuaded several states to withdraw recognition of the self-proclaimed SADR.

A significant development occurred in December 2020, when the United States recognized Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara as part of an agreement in which Morocco normalized relations with Israel under the Abraham Accords. This U.S. recognition represented a substantial shift from previous international consensus. Not long after, the European Union, in a unified statement by all 27 member states, declared that “genuine autonomy could represent the most achievable solution.” On the African continent, 31 states publicly endorse Morocco’s autonomy plan, and as mentioned above, nearly two dozen have also opened consulates in the territory. Several states have opened consulates in Laayoune and Dakhla, indicating tacit support for Morocco’s position.

UN Security Council Resolution 2797 (October 2025) established a new negotiating framework centered on Morocco’s plan, with Algeria participating as a full party. Rounds have since been held in Madrid and Washington under U.S. leadership and UN facilitation. U.S. executive and congressional actors have also raised concerns about Polisario links to regional terrorist networks, and draft legislation has been introduced calling for the group’s designation as a foreign terrorist organization.

Relations with Europe

Europe represents Morocco’s most significant foreign partner. The European Union (EU) accounts for approximately 68% of Moroccan exports and is the country’s largest investor and donor. Since 2008, Morocco has held EU Neighborhood Policy “advanced status,” supported by comprehensive agreements in trade, energy, aviation, fisheries, and migration. The Association Agreement (2000) established free trade in industrial goods and granted agricultural preferences. Key bilateral partners include France, due to historical ties and its status as the largest investor; Spain, based on geographic proximity and migration cooperation; and Germany, which focuses on renewable energy.

Morocco occupies a pivotal position in European migration management, acting as a buffer against irregular migration from Sub-Saharan Africa. Morocco continues to be the main recipient of EU funding in North Africa. In 2025, the EU mobilized 2.48 billion dirhams (approximately €233 million) in budget support for major national reforms spanning human development, the green transition, territorial cohesion, and economic growth. Over the 2021-2024 period, bilateral and EFSD+ allocations amounted to approximately €270 million annually, complemented by structural investments from the European Investment Bank and EU member state financial institutions. Spain and Morocco maintain close collaboration on border security in Ceuta and Melilla, two Spanish enclaves on the African continent along the Mediterranean coast, although tensions sometimes arise regarding migration flows or the Saharan issue. Morocco capitalizes on its strategic location as Europe’s gateway to Africa and as a key partner in counterterrorism, migration, and energy security. While the relationship is pragmatic and mutually beneficial, challenges persist, including EU court rulings on Western Sahara trade agreements and periodic strains over human rights concerns.

Several major milestones have deepened the EU-Morocco partnership in recent years. In 2022, the EU and Morocco launched their first Green Partnership on energy, climate, and the environment, establishing a joint framework for cooperation on renewable energy, green hydrogen, and climate adaptation. In 2023, the EU launched new cooperation programmes with Morocco worth €624 million focusing on the green transition, migration management, and institutional reforms. In November 2025, the EU and southern Mediterranean partners jointly launched the new Pact for the Mediterranean, building on the strategic goal of creating an area of shared peace and prosperity in the Mediterranean region. The 2025 cooperation package also coincided with the 25th anniversary of the EU-Morocco Association Agreement. These developments reflect Morocco’s growing importance to the EU as a strategic partner on energy security, climate, and migration — and Morocco’s continued ability to leverage its geographic and strategic position for diplomatic and economic benefit.

Africa Engagement

Morocco’s return to the African Union represented a significant strategic shift toward engagement with Africa. King Mohammed VI has undertaken multiple official visits to Sub-Saharan African countries, visiting more than 30 nations and facilitating the signing of numerous bilateral agreements in areas such as trade, investment, infrastructure, agriculture, and religious training. Morocco has also joined the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and applied for membership in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) in 2017, although this application remains under consideration.

Moroccan companies have expanded their operations substantially throughout Africa. Financial institutions such as Attijariwafa Bank and BMCE Bank maintain a presence in several West and Central African countries. Maroc Telecom operates subsidiaries in Mauritania, Burkina Faso, Gabon, Mali, and additional locations. The state-owned phosphate company OCP has established partnerships and joint ventures across the continent, supplying fertilizers and technical expertise to enhance agricultural productivity.

The Nigeria-Morocco Atlantic Gas Pipeline, one of the most strategically consequential infrastructure projects under development in Africa, encapsulates Morocco’s continental role. The pipeline aims to connect West African gas resources to European markets via Morocco, enhancing energy integration and security on both sides of the Mediterranean.

Morocco also projects religious influence by training imams from Francophone African countries at Moroccan institutes. Development cooperation initiatives encompass infrastructure projects, agricultural support, and educational exchanges. These efforts advance both economic and diplomatic objectives, notably by securing support for Morocco’s stance on Western Sahara. As a result, numerous African states have withdrawn recognition of the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR) or established consulates in Moroccan-administered Western Sahara. Nevertheless, Algeria’s resistance to Morocco’s regional autonomy plan continues to impede regional integration in the Arab Maghreb.

Middle East and Gulf Relations

Morocco’s normalization with Israel in December 2020 under the Abraham Accords was a watershed moment. The U.S. reaffirmed, as previous administrations held, that Morocco’s autonomy proposal was “serious, credible, and realistic,” and both countries agreed to a broader package that included the resumption of full official contacts with Israel (reopening liaison offices, not creating relations from scratch), along with other cooperative measures.

The Biden administration’s subsequent decision not to reverse the recognition underscores that Washington regarded it as a durable strategic determination. Israel and Morocco had maintained low-level contacts for decades (a large Moroccan-Jewish diaspora lives in Israel), but full diplomatic relations opened new opportunities. Cooperation now spans hundreds of millions of dollars in trade, tourism, direct flights, defense, cybersecurity, water technology, and agricultural innovation. Morocco balances this pragmatic engagement against domestic sensitivities since public opinion remains pro-Palestinian, and the government emphasizes continued support for a two-state solution and Palestinian rights.

Morocco maintains robust ties with Gulf states. The UAE has become a major investor in Moroccan real estate, ports, tourism, and renewable energy. DP World operates Jorf Lasfar container terminal, for example. Saudi Arabia provides financial support and investment, particularly in infrastructure and phosphates. Qatar has invested in hotels, agriculture, and banking. These Gulf partnerships bring capital, technology, and political backing for Morocco’s regional positions. Morocco also contributes to Gulf security by participating in the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen (2015–2019) before withdrawing. The Kingdom carefully balances relationships across the Arab world, maintaining ties with both Saudi Arabia and Qatar despite their past rift, and engaging pragmatically with both Israel and Palestinian factions.

Relations with Algeria

Relations between Morocco and Algeria remain strained, shaped primarily by the dispute over Western Sahara. Algeria provides political and financial support to the Polisario Front and hosts a population in the Tindouf camps that is claimed to be Sahrawi refugees. Algeria has refused an independent UN census for decades, and a significant portion of the camp residents hold Algerian nationality; UNHCR has therefore never been able to register the population or verify its size.

Diplomatic tensions intensified sharply in August 2021 when Algeria severed diplomatic ties, closed its airspace to Moroccan aircraft, and declined to renew the Maghreb-Europe Gas Pipeline contract with Morocco. The Maghreb Arab Union remains functionally inactive. In September 2024, Algeria imposed visa requirements on Moroccan citizens, part of a series of escalatory measures that included public accusations of “Zionist espionage” against Morocco. The rivalry also encompasses competition for regional influence in Africa, divergent geopolitical orientations, and a significant arms race: Morocco allocated $13 billion for its 2025 defense budget while Algeria approved $25 billion.

Recent developments have introduced cautious optimism regarding potential reconciliation. On October 31, 2025, the UN Security Council passed Resolution 2797, centering Morocco’s autonomy plan as the primary basis for resolving the Western Sahara conflict — the most significant multilateral diplomatic victory for Rabat to date. In response, King Mohammed VI extended an open invitation to Algerian President Tebboune for “sincere, brotherly dialogue.” In October 2025, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff publicly stated that the Trump administration was actively working on a Morocco-Algeria agreement, estimating a deal within 60 days. While that timeline proved unrealistic, the announcement reflected a genuine U.S. diplomatic push. In July 2025, U.S. Senior Advisor Massad Boulos visited Algiers and was well received, signaling Algeria’s interest in engaging the Trump administration amid concerns about potential CAATSA sanctions for Algerian purchases of Russian weapons. Algeria has faced growing isolation in the Sahel as its relationships with Mali and the Alliance of Sahelian States have deteriorated, while Morocco’s ties with the same states have remained stronger. Analysts note that successful reconciliation could integrate the wider Maghreb economy, reduce irregular migration to Europe, expand energy cooperation, and enable more effective Sahel counter-terrorism coordination. However, both governments face domestic political constraints, and the fundamental disagreements over Western Sahara and sovereignty principles remain unresolved.

U.S. and China Relations

Morocco was the first country to recognize the United States, doing so in 1777; the 1786–1787 Treaty of Peace and Friendship formalized a relationship already established a decade earlier. Morocco holds the status of Major Non-NATO Ally, receiving approximately $30 million annually in U.S. military aid, as well as training support and equipment sales. The two countries regularly conduct joint military exercises, with African Lion being among the largest in Africa. The US-Morocco Free Trade Agreement, implemented in 2006, has facilitated bilateral trade, although economic ties remain modest compared to those with Europe. The Trump administration’s 2020 recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara marked a significant diplomatic achievement for Rabat. The Biden administration  continued this recognition, while placing greater emphasis on human rights and United Nations mediation efforts. Morocco also engages in close counterterrorism cooperation and intelligence sharing, and hosts U.S. security operations in the Sahel region.

China’s economic engagement with Morocco has expanded under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Morocco signed a BRI memorandum in 2017, and China has since financed infrastructure projects, such as the Mohammed VI Tangier Tech City industrial zone, and contributed to the development of the Nador West Med port. Chinese companies also participate in renewable energy and construction projects. Despite these developments, China accounts for a relatively small portion of Morocco’s trade and investment compared to Europe. Morocco primarily imports machinery, electronics, and textiles from China, while exporting little in return, resulting in a significant trade deficit. The relationship remains pragmatic and focused on economic interests rather than strategic alignment. Morocco continues to balance Chinese engagement with its strong Western partnerships, thereby avoiding overreliance on any single partner.

Social & Political Dynamics

Political Framework and Party Landscape

Morocco operates as a hybrid system combining constitutional monarchy with a pluralist parliamentary framework. The 2011 constitution, adopted in response to Arab Spring pressures, significantly expanded the formal powers of elected institutions while preserving the central role of the monarch. King Mohammed VI retains ultimate authority over defense, foreign policy, religious affairs, and strategic state decisions. Parliament consists of the 395-seat House of Representatives (lower house) and the 120-seat House of Councilors (upper house). The Head of Government, commonly referred to as the Prime Minister, is drawn from the largest party in the lower house and holds day-to-day executive responsibilities.

Morocco’s political center is characterized by many parties — over 30 are represented or active — which typically form broad coalition governments. The dominant parties in recent elections include the Rassemblement National des Indépendants (RNI), the Parti Authenticite et Modernite (PAM), and the Parti de l’Istiqlal. The Islamist Parti de la Justice et du Développement (PJD), which led government between 2011 and 2021, was significantly weakened in the 2021 elections. The current RNI-led coalition, sometimes described as a technocratic government aligned with the palace’s modernization agenda, has focused on economic reform and social protection expansion. The 2021 election, in which the incumbent PJD lost all but 13 of its 125 seats, demonstrates that electoral outcomes can produce sharp shifts in government composition.

Corruption and Accountability

Corruption remains a persistent governance challenge in Morocco. The OECD Anti-Corruption and Integrity Outlook 2026 identifies Morocco as a country with formal anti-corruption frameworks in place but ongoing implementation gaps. The same Outlook notes that Morocco’s anti-corruption framework exceeds OECD averages: Strategic design scores 73% (OECD average 38%), and implementation in practice scores 53% (OECD average 32%).

Morocco has established institutions such as the Instance Nationale de la Probité, de la Prévention et de la Lutte contre la Corruption (INPPLC) and has committed to anti-corruption benchmarks under international agreements. However, surveys and investor assessments consistently cite corruption in public procurement, land administration, and regulatory enforcement as significant obstacles to doing business. Governance is also constrained by inefficient bureaucracy and the slow pace of regulatory reform. Investors note the absence of investment screening mechanisms in sensitive sectors and inconsistent application of commercial law. The government has undertaken digital transformation of administrative services as a transparency measure, with some progress. Sustained improvement in anti-corruption enforcement and governance quality remains a key precondition for Morocco to attract the level and quality of foreign investment needed to achieve Vision 2035 growth targets.

Human Rights

Morocco has significant progress in human rights since the repressive “years of lead” (1960s to 1990s) under King Hassan II. The 2011 constitution established rights to free speech, assembly, and an independent judiciary. It also created the National Human Rights Council and the Constitutional Court. The Equity and Reconciliation Commission (2004) acknowledged past abuses and provided reparations to victims, representing a rare initiative within the Arab world.

Morocco’s press environment is among the most diverse in the Arab world, with hundreds of licensed publications, a dynamic digital sector, and constitutional press freedom guarantees. The case of journalist Omar Radi, convicted following a criminal prosecution reviewed at multiple judicial levels and later pardoned in 2024, is frequently cited by critics. The overall media landscape, however, features robust debate and pluralism, ranking third in the region after Qatar and Israel. Freedom House rates Morocco “Partly Free” (39/100 in 2024), noting improvements in civil liberties.29 Freedom House, Morocco Country Report 2024 (Washington, DC: Freedom House, 2024); Reporters Without Borders, “Morocco Lashes Out After Bad RSF Press Freedom Index Rating,” 2023, https://www.newarab.com/news/morocco-lashes-out-after-bad-rsf-press-freedom-index-rating. And, on the Economist Intelligence Unit’s Democracy Index, Morocco ranks first in the Arab world, a fuller picture that contextualizes the regional reform trajectory.

Positive developments include legal reforms on women’s rights (2004 family code revisions), criminalization of domestic violence and sexual harassment, and abolition of a controversial article allowing rapists to avoid prosecution by marrying victims. Civil society remains active within boundaries. NGOs operate on development, women’s rights, and environmental issues but face obstacles when addressing sensitive political topics. The judiciary has gained some independence but remains subject to executive influence in politically sensitive cases. Overall, Morocco presents a mixed picture: gradual reform and relative openness compared to some regional peers, yet persistent limits on dissent and accountability.

Gender Issues

In 2004, Morocco reformed its Moudawana (family code) under the initiative of King Mohammed VI. This reform represented a significant advancement in women’s rights regarding marriage, divorce, child custody, and inheritance. The changes included raising the legal marriage age to 18, requiring mutual consent for marriage, granting women equal rights in divorce proceedings, and establishing family courts. These measures were considered progressive within the region and received international recognition. Further family code revisions in 2022 and nearly 18 constitutional provisions now enshrine women’s rights, the primacy of ratified international conventions over domestic law, and the prohibition of all forms of discrimination.

Despite these legal advancements, substantial gender disparities persist in practice. Female labor force participation remains at only 22%, one of the lowest rates globally, primarily due to cultural norms, workplace discrimination, insufficient childcare, and limited employment opportunities. Women are concentrated in low-wage sectors such as agriculture and textiles and are underrepresented in management and STEM fields. However, this under-representation is a widely observed structural challenge across both developing and advanced economies; reliable comparative data for Morocco remains limited, though the pattern is consistent with global trends.

A parliamentary quota mandates at least 20% of seats for women, and female parliamentarians currently chair key committees, including the Foreign Affairs Committees in both chambers. While structural challenges persist, these leadership roles signal meaningful institutional influence. However, violence against women is prevalent; surveys indicate that over 50% of women have experienced violence. While recent legislation criminalizes domestic abuse and sexual harassment, implementation and enforcement are inadequate, and societal stigma continues to discourage reporting. In 2021, Morocco adopted a national policy to combat violence against women and girls with targets to 2030. Institutional measures include multifunctional spaces for victim support, dedicated women’s units within the judicial police, listening and support centers, and an electronic platform to receive complaints from women victims of violence.

The government has initiated awareness campaigns, established support centers for abuse victims, and implemented programs to promote girls’ education and women’s entrepreneurship. Nevertheless, entrenched patriarchal attitudes continue to impede progress. Women’s rights organizations persist in advocating for additional legal reforms, such as equal inheritance rights and the criminalization of marital rape, as well as improved enforcement of existing laws. Cultural change is occurring gradually, especially in urban areas where younger women are increasingly pursuing higher education and professional careers, although traditional norms remain deeply rooted in rural regions.

Education System

Morocco has achieved significant improvements in enrollment rates, with primary school enrollment approaching universality and substantial increases observed at the secondary level. Despite these gains, persistent challenges in educational quality remain. Moroccan students consistently underperform in international assessments such as TIMSS and PISA. A considerable proportion of students lack foundational literacy and numeracy skills. According to World Bank studies, over 40% of 10-year-olds are unable to read and comprehend a simple text. Dropout rates are particularly high in secondary education, especially in rural areas, where economic pressures and limited access to schools contribute to higher attrition rates among students, particularly girls.

Language policy is contentious and impacts learning outcomes. Primary education begins in Arabic, but instruction shifts to French in secondary school and university, creating barriers for students weak in French (most rural and working-class students). This linguistic transition correlates with high dropout rates. Debate continues over whether to expand French instruction earlier, promote English as a second language, or strengthen Arabic-medium education. Teacher quality is another concern as many teachers lack adequate training, resources, and support. Overcrowded classrooms and outdated curricula further hinder learning.

The government launched a comprehensive Strategic Vision for Education Reform (2015–2030) and National Education Law (2019) aiming to improve quality, expand preschool access, enhance teacher training, integrate technology, and reduce regional disparities. Preschool enrollment has increased significantly. Teacher recruitment and training programs are expanding. Digital education initiatives aim to improve access in remote areas. However, implementation faces funding constraints, bureaucratic obstacles, and resistance to change. The education system’s ability to produce skilled graduates who can compete in a globalized economy remains a critical development challenge.

Morocco’s educational model reflects a blend of French colonial legacy and post-independence Arabization. The system spans preschool, six years of primary, three years of preparatory secondary, and three years of qualifying secondary, followed by higher education. Public schooling is free and compulsory through age 15. French dominates instruction in scientific and technical subjects at secondary and university levels, while Arabic is used for humanities and religious studies. This linguistic bifurcation is widely recognized as a structural driver of inequality and elevated dropout rates, particularly among rural and working-class students. Morocco has expanded its higher education system significantly, with institutions such as Université Mohammed VI Polytechnic (UM6P) in Ben Guerir emerging as research-oriented universities with international partnerships focused on agriculture, mining, sustainability, and digital innovation. Vocational training is managed through the OFPPT and has expanded to serve employer skill needs in automotive, aeronautics, and digital sectors.

Migration and Security

An estimated 5 million Moroccans live abroad, primarily in Europe. France hosts the largest community (over 1.5 million), followed by Spain, Italy, Belgium, and the Netherlands. Smaller communities exist in North America and the Gulf. These diaspora communities send substantial remittances — approximately $11 billion annually (7% of GDP in 2024) — which support family incomes, fund consumption and housing, and contribute to local development. The government has established agencies and programs to engage the diaspora, facilitate investment, and maintain cultural ties.

Morocco has transitioned from primarily an emigration country to also a transit and destination country. Tens of thousands of Sub-Saharan African migrants pass through Morocco en route to Europe via Spain’s enclaves (Ceuta, Melilla) or sea crossings. Some remain in Morocco, working in informal sectors. Morocco cooperates extensively with the EU on migration management, while pursuing a sovereign migration policy since 2013 that includes large-scale regularization campaigns and integration measures. EU funding supports shared priorities within a strategic partnership, not a transactional exchange. Periodic regularization campaigns have legalized thousands of undocumented migrants, granting them residence permits and access to services.

Emigration of educated youth (“brain drain”) remains a concern. Many university graduates seek opportunities abroad due to limited job prospects and in pursuit of better salaries and a higher quality of life. This outflow represents a loss of human capital, though some return, bringing skills and capital. The government seeks to create conditions that retain talent while leveraging diaspora networks for investment and knowledge transfer.

Morocco has also become a significant destination country for migrants. According to the 2024 population census, Morocco hosts over 142,000 migrants, representing approximately 0.4% of the population. Migrants from sub-Saharan Africa form the majority, particularly from Senegal, Côte d’Ivoire, Guinea, and Mali. Most are concentrated in major urban centers such as Casablanca, Rabat, and Marrakesh. Female migration has increased notably, indicating evolving demographic patterns. Morocco has undertaken two regularization campaigns (2014 and 2017) that granted residence permits to tens of thousands of undocumented migrants.

Reports of abuse and pushbacks at borders coexist alongside Morocco’s substantial regularization and protection efforts; access to health and education for migrant children remains uneven. The EU-Morocco cooperation on migration is extensive. Morocco continues to be the main recipient of EU funding in North Africa for migration-related programs. The EU-Morocco readmission framework remains a subject of ongoing negotiation, with deadlocks over scope and implementation. Access to education for migrant children in Morocco also remains limited and uneven.

Security and Counterterrorism

Morocco has largely avoided major terrorist attacks since the Casablanca bombings in 2003 (and subsequent smaller incidents in 2007 and 2011). This success reflects effective intelligence and security services, extensive cooperation with Western partners (particularly France, Spain, and the U.S.), and proactive measures to counter radicalization. Authorities have dismantled numerous cells linked to ISIS, al-Qaeda, and affiliated groups. Morocco shares intelligence on transnational jihadist networks and monitors suspected extremists.

The government promotes moderate Islam as a counterweight to extremism. The Ministry of Islamic Affairs regulates mosques, trains imams emphasizing tolerance and non-violence, and restructures religious education. Morocco’s model of religious authority, where the King as Commander of the Faithful oversees religious institutions, is presented as stabilizing. Morocco has exported this model, training imams from Francophone Africa and Europe at Moroccan institutes. The Mohammed VI Institute for the Training of Imams in Rabat has trained thousands of religious leaders.

However, radicalization concerns persist. Thousands of Moroccans joined jihadist groups in Syria, Iraq, and Libya (2011–2017), and some have returned, raising reintegration and security challenges. Socioeconomic marginalization, unemployment, and perceived injustices create vulnerabilities to extremist recruitment, particularly among disenfranchised youth. Prisons hold hundreds convicted of terrorism-related offenses, and managing radicalization within detention centers is an ongoing challenge. Morocco also faces potential threats from Sahel instability as jihadist groups active in Mali and the region could pose spillover risks.

Conclusion

Morocco has achieved notable stability and progress over the past two decades. The constitutional monarchy system has delivered incremental reforms while maintaining order. Economic liberalization, trade agreements, and industrial policy have diversified the economy and attracted investment. The push toward renewable energy positions Morocco as a regional climate leader. Social indicators have improved, with expanding health coverage and rising literacy.

However, significant challenges remain. High youth unemployment, regional inequality, and water scarcity threaten social cohesion and economic stability. Morocco maintains a pluralist media environment, active civil society, and regular competitive elections. The country’s reform trajectory over the past two decades has broadened public space, though legal limits on speech concerning the monarchy and territorial integrity remain in place. Gender equality lags despite legal reforms. Agricultural vulnerability to climate change and dependence on European markets creates economic fragility.

Geopolitically, the Western Sahara dispute continues to shape Morocco’s foreign policy and relations with Algeria. U.S. recognition of Moroccan sovereignty and normalization with Israel represent major diplomatic achievements, but regional tensions persist. Morocco’s balancing act between Europe, Africa, the Arab world, and the West requires careful navigation.

Looking ahead, Morocco’s success in achieving its Vision 2035 goals will depend on sustaining economic growth, creating jobs for youth, managing climate and water challenges, and ensuring inclusive development. The government’s social protection expansion and education reforms are steps in the right direction, but implementation and fiscal sustainability remain critical. Morocco’s strategic location, political stability, and reform momentum position it as a key player in North Africa and a bridge between continents. How it navigates the complex challenges ahead will determine whether it can translate progress into broad-based prosperity and enhanced resilience.

Оригінальне джерело

Stimson Center

Поділитися статтею

Схожі статті

Where’s the beef? Trump’s underwhelming meeting with Xi.
📊Analysis & Opinion
Atlantic Council

Where’s the beef? Trump’s underwhelming meeting with Xi.

Trump appears to have sidestepped the biggest trap—Beijing’s attempt to box Washington in on Taiwan—but underperformed on everything else. The post Where’s the beef? Trump’s underwhelming meeting with Xi. appeared first on Atlantic Council.

близько 14 годин тому6 min
The problem with the US power-sharing plan for Libya
📊Analysis & Opinion
Atlantic Council

The problem with the US power-sharing plan for Libya

The nascent US initiative may succeed in reducing tensions and creating a slightly more predictable environment for foreign businesses, but a structural transformation remains out of reach. The post The problem with the US power-sharing plan for Libya appeared first on Atlantic Council.

близько 14 годин тому7 min
📊
📊Analysis & Opinion
Atlantic Council

Braw in Sky News on Iran threatening tariffs on undersea cables

On May 15, Transatlantic Security Initiative senior fellow Elisabeth Braw was interviewed by Sky News on Iran threatening to place tariffs on vital undersea cables that support global connectivity. The post Braw in Sky News on Iran threatening tariffs on undersea cables appeared first on Atlantic Co

близько 14 годин тому1 min
Don’t fall for the middle-power mirage
📊Analysis & Opinion
Atlantic Council

Don’t fall for the middle-power mirage

The kind of multilateralism that Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney spoke about in Davos remains an aspiration rather than an achievable reality. The post Don’t fall for the middle-power mirage appeared first on Atlantic Council.

близько 15 годин тому9 min