Will Ethiopia and Eritrea Start a Regional War?

Tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea are escalating, risking another war in the Horn of Africa amid political divisions in Tigray and Ethiopia's pursuit of Red Sea access. Regional rivalries from Gulf and Middle Eastern powers could intensify the conflict and potentially trigger wider destabilization, including spillover from Sudan's ongoing war.

International Crisis Group
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Will Ethiopia and Eritrea Start a Regional War?

Will Ethiopia and Eritrea Start a Regional War?

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This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group's Africa director Murithi Mutiga about the mounting tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea, political fractures in Ethiopia's northern Tigray region and the risk of further escalation in the Horn.

In this episode of Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group Africa director Murithi Mutiga about rising Ethiopia–Eritrea tensions and the growing risk of another war in the Horn of Africa. They discuss how political divisions in Tigray and Ethiopia's push for Red Sea access are sharpening fault lines between Addis Ababa and Asmara. They examine how Gulf and Middle Eastern rivalries could shape any Ethiopia–Eritrea confrontation and increase the risk of wider regional conflagration, including the danger of spillover from Sudan's war. They also explore how global political shifts are playing out in Africa, reactions to U.S. President Donald Trump's "Board of Peace" and the prospects for coalitions of mid-sized Western and non-Western powers to act collectively. 

Click here to listen on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

For more, check out our briefing, "Ethiopia, Eritrea and Tigray: A Powder Keg in the Horn of Africa", and our Ethiopia-Eritrea page. 

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International Crisis Group

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